2026 World Cup: Bosnia and Herzegovina emerges as USMNT's likeliest Round of 32 opponent after eliminating Qatar - Yahoo Sports

Nick BrombergSenior writerThu, June 25, 2026 at 10:04 PM UTC·3 min readBosnia and Herzegovina took down Qatar 3-1 on Wednesday to finish third in Group B. Will its next World Cup game come against the United States? With four points over three group games, Bosnia and Herzegovina is almost assured of a spot in the knockout rounds, despite a goal differential of minus-1. With 32 of the 48 teams in the World Cup advancing to the knockout rounds, eight of the 12 third-place teams will advance to the Round of 32. Those eight teams will be decided by their points scored over the group games, with goal differential, goals scored and fair play points as the top three tiebreakers. Even though Bosnia and Herzegovina isn't locked into the Round of 32 just yet, teams that earn at least four points in the group stage shouldn't be sweating elimination too much. World Cup schedule | Group schedule, results | Standings FIFA determined the World Cup 2026 knockout-round bracket well in advance. The eight third-place teams will each play a team that finished first in its group. With FIFA wanting to ensure that no teams from the same group meet again before the quarterfinals, third-place teams are slotted into the bracket based on which groups have third-place teams advancing. Because it won Group D, the United States knows it will play a team from Groups B, E, F, I or J. But that team won't be determined until the group stage concludes on Saturday. In most of the combinations FIFA ran during the tournament, the third-place team from Group B — Bosnia and Herzegovina — was the most likely opponent for the winner of Group D. But if there are several upsets over the next few days, the United States could end up playing someone else. After Wednesday, we know that Bosnia and Herzegovina can be locked into the Round of 32 as early as Thursday. The other two third-place teams that played Wednesday are not that fortunate. South Korea went from second to third and was jumped by South Africa in a 1-0 loss to the South Africans. South Korea's minus-1 goal differential helps a lot, but it's going to be sweating the next few days out. After losing 3-0 to Brazil, Scotland could be in real trouble. Like South Korea, Scotland entered Wednesday on three points. But its goal differential is a real issue. The Scots are eighth among the third-place teams with eight more teams still left to play.